Buyer Beware

Every year, there are cautionary tales about overspending on talent. And every year, teams still part ways with big money, significant draft picks, or both to find what they hope is the final piece. This year is no different, with disappointments abound

Mike Wallace has been a major disappointment for the Dolphins after signing one of free agency's richest deals. (J Pat Carter/AP)
Mike Wallace has been a major disappointment for the Dolphins after signing one of free agency’s richest deals. (J Pat Carter/AP)

It’s certainly not the sexiest story line of Week 14, but Mike Wallace will make his return to Pittsburgh Sunday, with the former Steelers No. 1 receiver-turned-Miami Dolphin eager to lead his new team into the enemy territory of Heinz Field.

Signed to a five-year, $60 million contract by the Dolphins as one of the biggest prizes in last offseason’s free agency, Wallace has not been quite the difference-maker Miami envisioned thus far. While his play has heated up in the past two games, Wallace is still just the league’s 26th-ranked receiver in terms of yardage (743, on 56 catches, with three touchdowns), trailing the likes of rookie Keenan Allen in San Diego, as well as less-established pass catchers such as Atlanta’s Harry Douglas, Arizona’s Michael Floyd and Tennessee’s Kendall Wright. In fact, Miami’s Brian Hartline remains the Dolphins’ top receiver with 62 catches for 804 and three touchdowns, just as he was in 2012 (74 for 1,083).

With Wallace, the Dolphins are 6-6, and just off the pace in the battle for the AFC’s second-wild card spot, after being 5-7 at this same juncture of last season. Without Wallace, the Steelers are 5-7, and just a game further off the pace in the AFC wild-card race. The Steelers were 7-5 at this point in 2012, but still wound up missing the playoffs at 8-8.

Wallace is far from the only headline name to change teams this year, either by trade or free agency, and then wind up doing little to change the fortunes of their new employer. Whatever the 2013 NFL season ends up being remembered for, it won’t go down in history as The Year of the Big, Splashy Acquisition That Made All the Difference.

Cautionary tale, anyone? While final grades can’t be given to any of these moves in the short term, the early results are underwhelming. At least when it comes to the we’re-only-one-piece-of-the-puzzle away mindset, big-name moves continue to make for some big misses.

To wit:

• Seattle swung the blockbuster Percy Harvin trade with Minnesota in March, sending three draft picks to the Vikings (including a first-rounder in 2013, used to select Florida State cornerback Xavier Rhodes) and then signed Harvin to a six-year contract extension that included $25.5 million guaranteed. With Harvin still struggling with his surgically repaired hip, the Seahawks so far have gotten him on the field for 19 snaps in one game, with one catch for 17 yards and a 58-yard kickoff return in a win over Minnesota in Week 11.

You've seen Percy Harvin in street clothes a lot more than you've seen him in a Seahawks uniform this season. (Elaine Thompson/AP)
You’ve seen Percy Harvin in street clothes a lot more than you’ve seen him in a Seahawks uniform this season. (Elaine Thompson/AP)

• Tampa Bay landed cornerback Darrelle Revis via trade with the Jets in April, hoping to have secured one of the game’s dominant cover men and a defensive cornerstone. The Bucs surrendered the 13th pick in the 2013 draft, plus a probable third-rounder in 2014, and gave Revis a deal that could pay him as much as $96 million over six years (albeit with no guaranteed money). Coming off his ACL injury of 2012, Revis has been anything but vintage Revis of shutdown fame. He has two interceptions for the 3-9 Bucs. The Jets used that pick to take Missouri defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson, one of the strongest candidates for the league’s Defensive Rookie of the Year honor.

• Indianapolis sent its 2014 first-round pick to Cleveland for running back Trent Richardson in September, but last Sunday wound up benching 2012’s No. 3 overall draft choice in favor of veteran Donald Brown, who started the year third on the Colts’ running back depth chart. Richardson has averaged 2.8 yards per carry for Indy and hasn’t topped 60 yards rushing in any of his 10 games as a Colt.

• Beyond Wallace, this year’s free agency class—as always—featured its share of moves that make us look back and wonder what all the fuss was about. Greg Jennings hasn’t earned his No. 1 receiver money for the 3-8-1 Vikings, with 43 receptions for 517 yards and three touchdowns. Cleveland outside linebacker Paul Kruger was the Browns’ priority target in a major defensive upgrade, but the ex-Raven has just 2.5 sacks in 12 games, after registering nine for Baltimore last season, with another 4.5 during its Super Bowl run. Cleveland (4-8) remains mired in last place in the AFC North.

And veteran additions such as Steven Jackson in Atlanta, Danny Amendola in New England, Ed Reed in Houston (and now the Jets) and Dwight Freeney in San Diego simply haven’t been able to stay either healthy or productive enough to measure up to their previous track records. If they had days as difference makers in their new locales this season, they were few.

There have been successful exceptions to this year’s trend of the Big Splashy Acquisition turning into a letdown, of course. The Alex Smith and Anquan Boldin trades have worked out very nicely indeed for the Chiefs and 49ers, respectively, and where would Kansas City or San Francisco be without them? And headline free-agent signings like Reggie Bush in Detroit, Wes Welker in Denver and Elvis Dumervil in Baltimore all have been valuable additions that aided teams remaining in strong playoff contention.

But the many swings and misses on the list of 2013’s biggest deals should serve to again remind us that roster building is rarely at its best when the big-name component leads the way. As usual, it’s the guts of the draft, not the trade market or free agency, that has given us so many success stories this season, with second- and third-round finds like quarterback Mike Glennon in Tampa Bay, tight end Jordan Reed in Washington, linebacker Kiko Alonso in Buffalo, guard Larry Warford in Detroit and receiver Keenan Allen in San Diego.

The second-round running back crop is a headline development all its own this season, with Green Bay’s Eddie Lacy, Cincinnati’s Giovani Bernard, Pittsburgh’s Le’Veon Bell and Denver’s Montee Ball all contributing early and heavily, while emerging stars like Rams fifth-rounder Zac Stacy and Cardinals sixth-rounder Andre Ellington were unearthed on the final day of the draft. Those are some of the NFL’s best discoveries, though they didn’t warrant much fanfare in relative terms.

As Mike Wallace and his homecoming to Pittsburgh this weekend reminds us, not many of 2013’s biggest moves have given their teams the most bang for the buck. Maybe the Harvin, Revis and Richardson trades will prove themselves worthy of the sizable investment in the span of time. But there has been little return thus far, and the Seahawks, Bucs and Colts probably wouldn’t mind having those picks back. The quest for that one last piece of the puzzle can be very costly.

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19 comments
awasteofthyme
awasteofthyme

Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril have been FA hits for Seattle. Bennett has been excellent and Avril has been at least effective. I think Avril has gotten a little lost, numbers wise, in the deep DL rotation the Seahawks use. The versatility of Bennett to play either inside or from the edge has allowed him to ding the bell more often but both have played well.

anon76
anon76

In addition to Wes Welker, Vasquez, Jammer, Phillips (thank you San Diego), and Rodgers-Cromartie have all had either starting roles or important time as injury fill-ins for the Broncos this year.  Of course, the trick was to not overpay/overcommit on any of them, which also means that some (DRC) could be up for much larger paychecks after this year.

And let's not forget what an excellent deal the Broncos got out of picking up one Peyton Manning last year.  Sometimes those blockbuster deals are everything they're made out to be, and then some.

tmarticus
tmarticus

Mike Wallace is on pace for a 1000 yard season and he's opened up the field for Miami.  Miami has 30% more receiving yards than it did last year at this time because of this.  Sure they payed a lot for Wallace, but Miami still has a TON of leftover cap space that they didn't even use this year.

Baconpizza
Baconpizza

I agree with the idea that big FA spending can actually be detrimental to a team.  The most successful teams of the past 10 years have been those who've stayed away from it-- Pittsburgh, New England, Indy.  Although, I wouldn't use Harvin as an example simply due to the fact that he hasn't been healthy.  Rather, I'd point to the recent Eagles and Redskins experiments as great examples of what not to do.

SSheehan925
SSheehan925

Revis may not have worked out from a team perspective, but he's PFF's No. 2 cover corner. Some of your other criticisms aren't taking into consideration mitigating factors. Sure, Greg Jennings isn't a No. 1, but he's had atrocious quarterback play. 

StephenGrange
StephenGrange

AZ Cards did very well in quiet signings this year (a VERY pleasant change, thank you Mr. Steve Keim) with Carlos Dansby being one of the better defensive players in the NFL and John Abrahams being a godsend as a pass rusher ....

pamperofirpo
pamperofirpo

Danny Woodhead has been terrific for the Chargers. I am sure the Patriots wish they had re-signed him.

Frotoon
Frotoon

Seattle was smart to sign Percy Harvin. He's a game-changer. He doesn't even need to get the ball in his hands. Just put him on the field and the defense cheats off the other receivers, giving them more opportunities. Seattle is 11-1 right now, and they're about to get Harvin back. That's scary.

rskins09
rskins09

 Jim Brown was right  about  Trent Richardson ...And the  Colts gave up a 1st round  draft choice for him ?   Please .. I was surprised Trent was a 1st round pick  out of Alabama ; felt he was a tad over rated ..Takes him too long to hit the hole and  he plays not to get hurt ....Give Trent another year or so in the NFL before you can stick a fork in him ..

DennyCrane
DennyCrane

I've never understood deals like Revis, Reed, Freeny; these guys are either at the end of their career or damaged goods. Why buy the car rental agency's worn out models when you can buy brand new for less?

piizzadude
piizzadude

I could honestly care less, but you have to give Jennings a break. Look what crap you have throwing to him

Unicornhunter
Unicornhunter

I wouldn't rate Revis solely on interceptions. He has made the secondary better, much better than its historical ineptitude last year.  But as a life long Buc fan, I can say that there is value in seeking a high priced free agent like Revis even if he isn't an all pro.  The community has been through many lean years and has developed a skepticism about ownership's financial commitments to the team, especially after the Manchester United acquisition.  By pursuing and paying Revis the fans can see that money alone won't prevent the team from being competitive.  Of course, if he ends up a complete bust, then it was a bad deal.  But if he is able to give 4 or so years of play at the level he has been this season, that is a win in the long term.

Moemntm
Moemntm

Why didn't you mention the Seahawk acquisitions of Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril? As you saw on Monday during the Bennett Quake, they've worked out pretty well!

PWINGS
PWINGS

Screw Jennings! He benefited from excellent QB play in GB from Rodgers and then threw Rodgers under the bus when he left. If you're going to blame the QB for Jennings' poor play in Minnesota, then you should credit Rodgers for Jennings' good play in GB.

eltex.tx
eltex.tx

@Frotoon except it's not exactly true. The same thought was had by MANY people about Mike Wallace, due to him being one of the fastest players in the NFL. However, speed and potential don't get a lot of respect in the NFL. Harvin has been filled with potential for years now, and hasn't started to live up to it yet. 

JahliSuwaghaman
JahliSuwaghaman

@rskins09 As a Colts fan I don't want to give up on him.  I'm surprised any one can get any yards running with as bad as the Colts O-line is.  Luck is one of the most harassed/hit/sacked QBs in the league.  The Colts WR/TE corps are decimated by injury and the Colts will be lucky to win any more games this year. 

Unicornhunter
Unicornhunter

@DennyCrane to follow your analogy, this would be a case of buying a potentially worn out ferrari vs. buying a new car that could end up a ford focus.  You may get a junker, you may get a classic.  No guarantee the brand new one will ever be a good car (Trent Richardson anyone?)

rskins09
rskins09

@DennyCrane      Agree with  Freeny  and Reed  but Revis  still has a lot in his  tank ... In their prime Ed Reed and  Freeny were awesome ..By the way, Ed Reed  made it look  so easy game after game .. 

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